Global Economic Outlook 2019:New Directions and Changing Tides?

01 April 2019 ,6:30 PM | Tokyo, Japan
CFA Society Japan | 1.5 CE Credit

Time: 18:30-20:00 (JST)
Venue: Room1, FINE TOKYO, 5th Floor, South Tower, Otemachi Financial City, 1-9-7 Otemachi, Chiyoda-ku, Tokyo
 (For those who take the subways to come: From Tokyo Metro Otemachi Station, please use the passageway directly connecting to the first basement floor of the building. Then take the South Elevator from the first basement floor or the first floor to the fifth floor.
For those who come from the surface street: Please enter the SouthTower, Otemachi Financial City from FINE TOKYO Entrance that is across the street of Sankei Building. Then take the South Elevator from the first floor to the fifth floor.)
Language: English
Specialty Focus Areas: Economics (CE credit eligible)
Speaker: Dr. Paul Gruenwald (Chief Economist, S&P Global Ratings)
Fee: CFA Japan Members, CFA Members of other societies, Associate Members, Professional Members:Free, Candidate Non Members: JPY 2,000, Non-members: JPY 3,000
**Global Passport Program is available. 


Is the global economy sliding toward a recession? Or was the market volatility of late 2018 just a bump on the road to an orderly slowing to growth? In this presentation we will examine that question as well as explore the main risks to the outlook. These include an escalation of the US-China trade war, the path of interest rate normalization led by the U.S. Federal Reserve, as well as Brexit and geopolitical tensions.
Dr. Paul Gruenwald, Chief Economist for S&P Global Ratings, who based in NY will discuss

  •  An Escalation of the US-China Trade Dispute
  • The path of interest rate normalization led by Fed
  • Brexit and other geopolitical tensions


Paul Gruenwald is the Chief Economist at S&P Global Ratings. Based in New York, he leads the economic research agenda and serves as the primary spokesperson on macro-economic matters for the company.
Before joining S&P Global Ratings in 2013, Paul spent almost five years at the Australia and New Zealand Banking Group (ANZ) as the Asia Pacific Chief Economist, where he was responsible for helping set and direct ANZ's Asian and global economic research agenda, as well as building the bank's economic research efforts and profile in the region. Previously, Paul worked at the International Monetary Fund (IMF) for nearly 16 years, where he led the team producing the IMF's Asian regional outlook reports. He was also the IMF Resident Representative to Hong Kong and Korea, the Deputy Chief of the China Division, and did considerable work on both public (Paris Club) and private (London Club) debt restructuring issues.
Paul has a Ph.D. in Economics from Columbia University and a bachelor's degree in Economics/Mathematics from the University of Texas.

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